Point-in-time by design
Every publication is cut to what was knowable then. Later revisions create a new record; they never quietly rewrite the old one.
A versioned macro record
The tide. The current. The regime.
Liquidity & Capital turns global liquidity conditions and capital positioning into one aligned market-regime read—published with an as-of timestamp, explicit confidence, and no hindsight.
Point-in-timeVersionedEvidence-linkedMembers only
The official read
One aligned conclusion. No silent revisions.
The published regime stays anchored to the latest period where both core forces are complete. Newer observations are separated as provisional context.
TideMeasured conditions
ObservedCurrentMeasured positioning
AlignedRegimeDeterministic classification
VersionedOfficial periodConfidenceEvidence statusBuild provenance
The discipline
Macro intelligence should be legible—and defensible.
The signal is only as credible as its publication controls. We distinguish measured facts, model outputs, and analyst judgment instead of blending them.
Official means aligned
The Tide and the Current must refer to the same completed period before a regime is published. Newer partial data stays clearly provisional.
A read with receipts
Confidence, source quality, methodology version, and build provenance travel with the signal so the conclusion can be challenged and reproduced.
The framework
Liquidity sets conditions. Capital sets direction.
The Tide is the slow, structural liquidity backdrop. The Current is the faster direction of capital and positioning. Read on the same completed period, they form the regime: a compact statement of the market's prevailing conditions—not a trade instruction.
Explore the methodologyTide expanding
Current in
Defensive bidreceding · in
Full throttleexpanding · in
Drainreceding · out
Bypassedexpanding · out
Private membership
See the official read—and the record behind it.
Members receive the live monitor, historical publications, evidence notes, methodology, and build-pinned API access.